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Terminal Value (TV)

Terminal Value (TV)

Terminal Value (TV) is a financial projection used to estimate the future value of a business, investment, or asset beyond a specific forecast period. It represents the present value of all future cash flows after the forecast period. The terminal value is often used in discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis to estimate the overall value of an investment.
There are two commonly used methodologies to find the terminal value: -
  • The Exit Multiple Method: - This method uses a multiple of earnings, cash flow, or revenue as a way to estimate the terminal value. The multiple is typically based on comparable companies or industry averages.
The formula for the terminal value using the exit multiple method is: -
TV = (Earnings, Cash Flow or Revenue) x (Exit Multiple)
  • The Gordon Growth Model: - This method assumes that the business will grow at a constant rate after the forecast period.
The formula for the terminal value using the Gordon growth model is: -
TV = (FCF (1+g)) / (r-g) where FCF is the free cash flow, g is the growth rate, and r is the discount rate.
It's important to note that the terminal value can be a significant component of the overall valuation, and as such, small changes in the assumed growth rate or discount rate can have a significant impact on the overall value of the investment.
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